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football model probabilities

https://wiki-spirit.win/index.php/How_Data_Is_Changing_Serie_A_Predictions_for_the_Better

I was looking at the football model probabilities for this weekend's matches, and it's pretty wild how the data shifts when you factor in player injuries and weather conditions. The model gives Manchester United a 58% chance of winning, but that drops to 42% if it rains—kind of makes you think about how variables can change predictions in real-time.